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        <title>National Security Experts</title>
        <link>http://security.nationaljournal.com/</link>
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        <language>en</language>
        <copyright>Copyright 2009</copyright>
        <lastBuildDate>Mon, 16 Nov 2009 12:26:00 GMT</lastBuildDate>
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            <title>Are American Muslims A Threat?</title>
            <description><![CDATA[<p><em>Updated at 10:45 a.m. on Nov. 16.</em></p>

<p>Conventional wisdom has held for some time now that Muslims in the United States integrate better into society than do Muslims in France, Britain or other European countries, and that's why we haven't had many homegrown terrorist plots. But perhaps in light of recent events, that is just so much self-delusion. Some 20 Somali-Americans -- all young men mostly born here, the FBI says -- have gone to Somalia in the past 18 months and joined Al Shabaab, the Al-Qaeda-affiliated group trying to seize that Horn of Africa country. One of those Somali Americans, Shirwa Ahmed, died in an apparent suicide attack targeting government offices in northern Somalia in October 2008. Najibullah Zazi, an American born in Afghanistan but raised in the United States since the age of 7, was plotting to blow up trains in New York City before he was recently arrested in Colorado. And now Army Maj. Nidal Hasan, an American Muslim born and raised in Virginia, stands accused of shooting to death 13 of his fellow soldiers at Fort Hood, Texas.</p>

<p>Are we as good at integrating Muslims into U.S. society as we think we are? Or is it that Muslims worldwide are inevitably getting fed up with America's two wars against Muslims in Iraq and Afghanistan, and a global war on terror that is perceived to be attacking Muslims in about two dozen countries? Or is it that Al Qaeda -- which had connections to Zazi, Al Shabaab and the Somalis, and perhaps through a cleric to Maj. Hasan -- is still the force we need first to be reckoning with?</p>]]></description>
            <link>http://security.nationaljournal.com/2009/11/are-american-muslims-a-threat.php</link>
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            <pubDate>Mon, 16 Nov 2009 12:26:00 GMT</pubDate>
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            <title>Whack-A-Mole In The War On Terror</title>
            <description><![CDATA[<p>The Obama administration wants to keep Afghanistan from becoming a base of operations for terrorist groups such as Al Qaeda, and the expected troop buildup there will almost certainly involve a heavy reliance on counterterrorism operations. But recent evidence suggests that terrorist networks have found much safer bases in countries where there isn't a large U.S. military presence, such as Somalia, Yemen and Algeria.</p>

<p>How should the Obama administration broaden its counterterrorism strategy to include these burgeoning terrorist havens? Should it increase the use of Predator drones in these countries? Or the kind of commando raids that killed a key Al Shabaab leader in Somalia recently? Should the president consider lifting the ban on assassinations in order to more freely target terrorist figures in countries where we're not at war? And what are the options the president has for focusing on the "upstream" factors, as his chief counterterrorism adviser has called them, that lead people to commit terrorist acts in the first place?</p>]]></description>
            <link>http://security.nationaljournal.com/2009/11/whackamole-in-the-war-on-terro.php</link>
            <guid>http://security.nationaljournal.com/2009/11/whackamole-in-the-war-on-terro.php</guid>
            
            
            <pubDate>Mon, 09 Nov 2009 13:30:00 GMT</pubDate>
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            <title>Chi-America: Is This The New Global Order?</title>
            <description><![CDATA[<p>The idea of a binding interdependence between China and America as the linchpin of a new global economic and political order has become a trendy one in geopolitical circles. There is much talk, for example, about Zachary Karabell's new book, <em>Superfusion: How China And America Became One Economy And Why The World's Prosperity Depends On It</em>. So, first of all, is the premise of the so-called Chi-America (or Chimerica) thesis a well-grounded one? What is true and not true of this premise? Why not, at least, "Amer-Chi," given that the U.S. remains, by far, a bigger and wealthier economy, and a weightier global political actor? </p>

<p>In any case, how should Washington try to manage the Sino-American relationship -- the political as well as the economic dimension? Given the global rise of China, was President Obama right, for example, recently to postpone a meeting in Washington with the Dalai Lama -- until after a meeting with Chinese President Hu Jintao? Or did this step express too much deference towards a China that still has a long way to go before rivaling the U.S. in global influence?</p>]]></description>
            <link>http://security.nationaljournal.com/2009/11/chiamerica-is-this-the-new-glo.php</link>
            <guid>http://security.nationaljournal.com/2009/11/chiamerica-is-this-the-new-glo.php</guid>
            
            
            <pubDate>Mon, 02 Nov 2009 12:34:00 GMT</pubDate>
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            <title>How Is Hillary Clinton Doing As Secretary Of State?</title>
            <description><![CDATA[<p>The conventional wisdom at the beginning of the year was that Hillary Rodham Clinton might be sidelined by all the strong personalities among President Obama's "team of rivals" and his special envoys to the Middle East and Afghanistan/Pakistan. Some analysts have said that doesn't seem to have happened.</p>

<p>Clinton has taken charge of relations with great powers China and Russia, and is a key player in reinforcing Obama's multilateral approach to international issues, one of the things that the Nobel committee cited in giving him the Peace Prize. People give her credit for giving this administration some spine. And she certainly is getting more resources for the State Department. David Rothkopf, a visiting scholar at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, wrote a piece in the <a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/08/21/AR2009082101772.html?sid=ST2009091803188"><em>Washington Post</em></a> in August saying that Clinton is "rethinking the very nature of diplomacy and translating that vision into a revitalized State Department, one that approaches U.S. allies and rivals in ways that challenge long-held traditions."</p>

<p>But we would like to know what you, the experts, think about Hillary's performance so far, what she has accomplished, and what more she could or should be doing. So what kind of report card do you give Hillary Rodham Clinton so far as secretary of State? Was she a good, or bad, choice as the nation's top diplomat?</p>]]></description>
            <link>http://security.nationaljournal.com/2009/10/how-is-hillary-clinton-doing-a.php</link>
            <guid>http://security.nationaljournal.com/2009/10/how-is-hillary-clinton-doing-a.php</guid>
            
            
            <pubDate>Mon, 26 Oct 2009 12:30:00 GMT</pubDate>
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            <title>Velvet Revolution In Iran?</title>
            <description><![CDATA[<p>As the repercussions from the summer's election fraud and its bitter aftermath continue to ripple through Iranian politics, it's become clear that the greatest fear of President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad and his allies in the Revolutionary Guards and among hard-line clerics is a "velvet" people's revolution of the type that swept authoritarian regimes from power in Georgia with the 2003 "Rose Revolution," and in Ukraine with the "Orange Revolution" in 2004-2005.</p>

<p>Are those fears well-founded? Given a level of popular opposition to the theocratic regime that surprised many outside observers, especially on the part of the country's urban youth, is there a viable prospect that the regime can be swept from power by a people's revolution? Given the sensitivity and danger of any domestic group being associated with the "Great Satan," are there proactive and helpful steps -- secret or otherwise -- that the United States should take to improve the chances of a "velvet revolution"? What aspects of the velvet revolutions in Ukraine and Georgia might apply to Iran? Finally, is there likely any truth to Iranian charges that the United States or other outside players were behind the unrest surrounding the elections?</p>]]></description>
            <link>http://security.nationaljournal.com/2009/10/velvet-revolution-in-iran.php</link>
            <guid>http://security.nationaljournal.com/2009/10/velvet-revolution-in-iran.php</guid>
            
            
            <pubDate>Mon, 19 Oct 2009 14:02:28 GMT</pubDate>
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            <title>Obama&apos;s Nobel Prize: Asset, Liability Or Joke?</title>
            <description><![CDATA[<p>The announcement that President Obama had received the Nobel Peace Prize was met with jaws dropping around the world. Does Obama's Nobel win give "momentum" -- to use the committee chairman's word -- to his efforts on such fronts as Iran, the Israeli-Palestinian conflict and nuclear disarmament? Or does the award raise expectations, already high, to a destructive degree? Will the prize end up being more of an embarrassment than an asset if Obama cannot deliver on the extraordinary goals that the Nobel committee believes he is pursuing? And is the award unjustified, given that Obama has sent more combat troops into Afghanistan and is contemplating sending more; that he has embraced the use of remote drones to kill terrorist suspects in Pakistan, a country with which we're not at war; and that he intends to indefinitely detain some terrorist suspects without charge?</p>]]></description>
            <link>http://security.nationaljournal.com/2009/10/obamas-nobel-prize-asset-liabi.php</link>
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            <pubDate>Tue, 13 Oct 2009 12:30:00 GMT</pubDate>
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            <title>Bomb Iran? It&apos;s Your Call</title>
            <description><![CDATA[<p>It's March 1, 2010, and you're the secretary of Defense. Sanctions, negotiations and all other forms of diplomacy have failed to get Iran to renounce its nuclear program. The president has directed you and the chairman of the joint chiefs to draw up a plan for striking at Qum and Iran's many other nuclear facilities within the next 90 days. How would you advise that they be taken out, and in such a way that they can't come back online, at least not for several years? What would such a strike look like? Bunker busters? Cyber attacks? Cruise missiles and fighter bombers? Would we keep Israel out of it? How much air-, sea- and manpower would we need in place to keep the entire region from exploding? And how would we prepare for the aftermath? </p>

<p>Or would you advise against the mission entirely and resign in protest rather than execute it -- perhaps telling the president that such a strike would likely fail, be counterproductive to other U.S. goals in the region, and push the Iranians into a faster nuclear arms race?</p>]]></description>
            <link>http://security.nationaljournal.com/2009/10/bomb-iran-its-your-call.php</link>
            <guid>http://security.nationaljournal.com/2009/10/bomb-iran-its-your-call.php</guid>
            
            
            <pubDate>Mon, 05 Oct 2009 12:30:00 GMT</pubDate>
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            <title>The Israeli-Palestinian Conflict: The Graveyard Of American Presidents?   </title>
            <description><![CDATA[<p>"It is past time to stop talking about starting negotiations, and time to move forward," a plainly impatient President Obama declared before convening a closed-door meeting at the Waldorf-Astoria in New York City on Sept. 22 with Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu and Palestinian President Abbas. OK, but now what? The Arab and Israeli press, in equal measure, derided the "summit" get-together, on the sidelines of a United Nations confab, as little more than a photo-op, with Abbas also drawing flak from Hamas for attending the meeting without first getting an advance agreement from Netanyahu's government to freeze all settlements construction.</p>

<p>As the clock ticks, is there any substantive action that Obama can and should take -- something beyond mere words -- to get these talks going, and in particular, anything to get Netanyahu to agree to a total freeze on growth in settlements? Would prospects for a deal be better served if the rickety Netanyahu government fell? Should the White House also be talking to Hamas? And just how dire are the consequences of a complete derailing of this diplomatic track -- does the world really collapse if the stalemate continues, however much Obama's prestige may suffer?</p>]]></description>
            <link>http://security.nationaljournal.com/2009/09/the-israelipalestinian-conflic.php</link>
            <guid>http://security.nationaljournal.com/2009/09/the-israelipalestinian-conflic.php</guid>
            
            
            <pubDate>Mon, 28 Sep 2009 12:45:00 GMT</pubDate>
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            <title>Obama&apos;s Missile Defense Plan: Smart Or Surrender?</title>
            <description><![CDATA[<p>In announcing plans to abandon the Bush administration's missile defense system in Eastern Europe, President Obama said that his alternative is more flexible and better tailored to the nature of regional threats. Specifically, Obama says that the Navy's Aegis theater missile system, which he favors, could be put into use earlier than the Bush system and is better equipped to defend against Iran's short- and medium-range missile capabilities. The system also has the added benefit of not making the Russians more paranoid at a time when the administration wants Moscow's cooperation in curbing Iran's nuclear program and reducing American and Russian strategic nuclear arsenals. Critics charge that Obama is appeasing an authoritarian Russia at the expense of our democratic allies in Eastern Europe and leaving the United States and NATO allies more vulnerable to Iran's missiles. Which side is closer to the truth?</p>]]></description>
            <link>http://security.nationaljournal.com/2009/09/obamas-missile-defense-plan-sm.php</link>
            <guid>http://security.nationaljournal.com/2009/09/obamas-missile-defense-plan-sm.php</guid>
            
            
            <pubDate>Mon, 21 Sep 2009 13:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
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            <title>On The 9/11 Anniversary: The Dog that (Still) Hasn&apos;t Barked</title>
            <description><![CDATA[<p>Eight years ago, as the grounds of the World Trade Center and a chunk of the Pentagon lay smoldering, it was an easy if grim guess that the American homeland, sooner or later, would be attacked again by jihadist terrorists. But at this point, no such attack has occurred, and the question ripe for debate is why. Razor-sharp U.S. intelligence? The bringing of the fight to the "home turf" of the terrorists in Afghanistan and the tribal borderlands of Pakistan? The emergence of Iraq as a more convenient place to kill Americans than America itself? A calculated decision by the terrorists not to wage a second wave of assaults? Sheer luck?</p>

<p>And what can and should be done, at home and abroad, to make sure that no second attack occurs, ever?</p>]]></description>
            <link>http://security.nationaljournal.com/2009/09/on-the-911-anniversary-the-dog.php</link>
            <guid>http://security.nationaljournal.com/2009/09/on-the-911-anniversary-the-dog.php</guid>
            
            
            <pubDate>Mon, 14 Sep 2009 12:30:00 GMT</pubDate>
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            <title>Obama&apos;s Afghan Dilemma: Go Big Or Go Home?</title>
            <description><![CDATA[<p>Afghanistan is escalating faster than Iraq draws down, creating a dilemma for President Obama. The number of U.S. troops in Afghanistan has nearly doubled since last year, from 32,000 last fall to more than 63,000 today. Now reports swirl that Gen. Stanley McChrystal, the new U.S. commander in Kabul, may ask for another 40,000, bringing the total to beyond 100,000.</p>

<p>Meanwhile, the Taliban is inflicting record casualties, with August the deadliest month on record for coalition forces; last month's Afghan elections were marred by widespread fraud; and polls say that the majority of the U.S. public believes the war is not worth fighting. Many observers draw the parallel to Iraq at its worst and to George W. Bush's "surge" there of reinforcements who are widely, albeit controversially, credited with turning that conflict around.</p>

<p>Should Obama gamble that more troops and new tactics will turn the tide, as Bush did in Iraq, and how many more troops would it take? Or does Obama risk his presidency by getting bogged down in another Asian land war in support of an increasingly undemocratic government? And what's the alternative to an "Afghan surge" -- perhaps, <a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/08/31/AR2009083102912.html">as conservative columnist George Will wrote last week</a>, withdrawing and relying on special forces, intelligence and drones just to monitor the Afghanistan-Pakistan border?</p>]]></description>
            <link>http://security.nationaljournal.com/2009/09/obamas-afghan-dilemma-go-big-o.php</link>
            <guid>http://security.nationaljournal.com/2009/09/obamas-afghan-dilemma-go-big-o.php</guid>
            
            
            <pubDate>Tue, 08 Sep 2009 11:54:00 GMT</pubDate>
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            <title>What Are You Reading?</title>
            <description><![CDATA[<p>The dog days of summer are a natural time to get caught up on reading, so we'd like to reprise a question we <a href="http://security.nationaljournal.com/2008/12/" target="blank">posed during the winter holidays</a> and ask what's on your current reading list. Histories, biographies, reports and novels are welcome. Please explain their relevance to national security and why you think they're important and interesting. Shorter posts and links are encouraged. Keeping with the slower pace of the season, we'll again leave the site open for commentary for two weeks. We'll resume weekly topical discussions after Labor Day. </p>

<p>To kick things off, your moderator notes that he's been reading "<a href="http://www.dtic.mil/doctrine/jel/new_pubs/jp3_13.pdf" target="blank">Joint Publication 3-13: Information Operations</a>," which includes the military's guidebook for cyber war. The entire report is significant because it reflects the military's experience with counterinsurgency operations in Iraq. The doctrine envisions the "information environment" as equally important to the physical world when it comes to fighting, and defeating, adversaries.</p>]]></description>
            <link>http://security.nationaljournal.com/2009/08/what-are-you-reading.php</link>
            <guid>http://security.nationaljournal.com/2009/08/what-are-you-reading.php</guid>
            
            
            <pubDate>Mon, 24 Aug 2009 12:30:00 GMT</pubDate>
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            <title>Containment Succeeded, Pre-emption Failed -- Time For A New National Strategy?</title>
            <description><![CDATA[<p>Starting with the <a href="http://security.nationaljournal.com/2008/12/how-will-obama-first-be-tested.php" target="blank">first day of discussion</a> on this blog, contributors such as <a href="http://armedservices.house.gov/pdfs/Reports/NextAdminDefenseChallenges110708.pdf" target="blank">House Armed Services Chairman Ike Skelton</a>, D-Mo., have argued that the United States lacks a coherent national strategy -- a missing piece in the foundation of security policy that undercuts our response to every specific problem from Iraq to North Korea to the Pentagon budget.</p>

<p>For five decades during the Cold War, there was a rough consensus around a strategy of containing communism, resisting regional advances by the Soviets without escalating to a world war. But since the Soviet Union fell in 1991, a blizzard of buzzwords and white papers has never added up to a new national strategy. After 9/11, George W. Bush offered a "global war on terrorism" including pre-emptive attacks on potential threats such as Iraq -- a strategy that Barack Obama has repudiated but not replaced.</p>

<p>So what should America's new national strategy look like, at least in outline? Has anyone in or out of office already put forward principles that the nation should adopt? Is there already an unspoken consensus emerging that simply needs someone to give it a name? Or was containment a fluke, and is a formal, explicit national strategy something that most nations throughout history have happily done without?</p>

<p><em>A note to our contributors: Given the scope of this question and Washington's usual August slowdown, we will proceed at an appropriately stately pace and keep the discussion open for two weeks instead of the normal one, with the next topic not launching until Monday the 24th.</em></p>]]></description>
            <link>http://security.nationaljournal.com/2009/08/containment-succeeded-preempti.php</link>
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            <pubDate>Mon, 10 Aug 2009 10:42:00 GMT</pubDate>
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            <title>U.S. Foreign Policy Speak: A Tower Of Biden?</title>
            <description><![CDATA[<p>Is the Obama administration speaking with too many voices on U.S. foreign policy these days -- with Vice President Joe Biden an especially acute problem?</p>

<p>The White House is doing a lot of walking back of public comments lately -- of Biden's assertion that Russia is a has-been global power; of Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton's suggestion that the U.S. might want to create a "defense umbrella" over the Middle East to counter Iran's ambitions in the region; of Biden's earlier remark that Israel might have a green light from the U.S. on militarily taking out Iran's nuclear program. Some analysts have welcomed Biden's candor on Russia, for example, as a refreshing glint of truth -- he said that "they're in a situation where the world is changing before them and they're clinging to something in the past that is not sustainable." But others say Biden is only complicating President Obama's efforts to "reset" the U.S-Russia relationship on friendlier and more pragmatic ground.</p>

<p>Should Obama muzzle Biden and others on his team? Is part of the problem the president's "special envoy" approach to hot-button regions, and do the mixed messages point to a wider confusion in the administration's foreign policy approach?</p>]]></description>
            <link>http://security.nationaljournal.com/2009/08/us-foreign-policy-speak-a-towe.php</link>
            <guid>http://security.nationaljournal.com/2009/08/us-foreign-policy-speak-a-towe.php</guid>
            
            
            <pubDate>Mon, 03 Aug 2009 10:48:00 GMT</pubDate>
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            <title>After The F-22 Vote, What&apos;s Next?</title>
            <description><![CDATA[<p>Last week's Senate vote to end production of the F-22 fighter -- reversing an earlier vote to keep building the $361 million jets -- was hailed as a triumph for Defense Secretary Robert Gates, who had won a presidential promise to veto any Defense bill including the airplane. A subsequent Senate vote cut funding to develop a second, alternative engine for the F-35 Joint Strike Fighter, another Gates win. Meanwhile, Gates announced an increase of 22,000 soldiers to the Army, which formally implemented his cancellation of its Future Combat Systems armored vehicle program, to be rebooted as a blank-slate new design. It's been a good week for Gates -- but what comes next?</p>

<p>What kind of military is Gates shaping? Is he merely trimming deadwood on the margins, or does he offer a vision of a positive alternative to business-as-usual? How substantial, as opposed to symbolic, is his progress so far? And how far, realistically, can he get before the next presidential election in 2012?</p>]]></description>
            <link>http://security.nationaljournal.com/2009/07/after-the-f22-vote-whats-next.php</link>
            <guid>http://security.nationaljournal.com/2009/07/after-the-f22-vote-whats-next.php</guid>
            
            
            <pubDate>Mon, 27 Jul 2009 10:20:00 GMT</pubDate>
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