Everyone likes to play oddsmaker, and here is your chance. The collapse of Lehman Brothers, the event generally seen as the immediate trigger of the global economic crisis, occurred seven months ago, in September 2008 -- enough time to start drawing some conclusions on how the crisis is reshuffling the global power deck.
We're asking you to think imaginatively and in an unbounded fashion about winners and losers from the crisis. A winner might be a nation-state like India, whose economy has been relatively unscathed. A winner also might be prospects for a Chinese imperium, as China uses its immense financial reserves to extend its influence around the world. A winner might be "the South" -- which stands to increase its clout in institutions like the International Monetary Fund. A loser might be the American model of unfettered capitalism, widely blamed for the debacle. A loser might be globalization, as nation-states retreat behind their borders and thwart efforts by Gordon Brown and others to arrive at a global solution. A petro-punctured Russia also may be a loser, as may be a burst-bubble Dubai.
But these are just starting suggestions. The premise for this exercise is that the crisis is a huge event that will make for lasting effects. How will the world change as a result of the crisis? Predictions, anyone?